Risksummit.eu
Symposium on Risk versus Hazard
Symposium on Risk versus Hazard
Risk versus Hazard –
How to Regulate in the 21st Century
Ragnar E. Lofstedt*
In Europe, debate as to whether one should regulate chemicals based on intrinsic hazard or assessment of risk, or possibly a combination of both, has been gaining momentum. This article first provides a brief history of this risk versus hazard debate. Secondly, it ex-amines how European regulators are currently handling the regulation of two chemical compounds, namely Bisphenol A and Deca BDE (a brominated flame retardant), based on forty-five expert interviews with regulators, policy makers and industry representatives in eight Member States, as well as with European Commission officials. The paper shows that there is no clear consensus as to when risk or hazard considerations should be the basis for regulatory decision-making, with wide discrepancies between Member States (e.g. the UK is overall more risk based than Sweden) and between regulatory agencies within Member States. The penultimate section puts forward a series of recommendations to help regula-tors and policy makers develop more consistent and science based regulations for Europe.
states, there has been a lively debate about how best to regulate chemicals, including metals, food
Since the early 1970s with the formation of envi-
additives and preservatives, as well as certain foods
ronmental regulatory agencies in many European
themselves1. Should regulations be based on a haz-ard classification (that is the potential for a sub-
Professor Ragnar Lofstedt is the Director for the King's Centre
stance, activity or process to cause harm or adverse
for Risk Management, Department of Geography, King's College
effect) or a risk (a combination of the likelihood and
London. The author would like to thank the European regulators
and stakeholders who agreed to be interviewed for this article
the severity of a substance, activity or process to
as well as the three anonymous reviewers for very helpful and
cause harm) assessment23? In other words, should
constructive comments. This article is based on research that has
regulators ban substances that have an intrinsic abil-
in part been funded by Afton, Bromine Science and Environmen-
tal Forum, the Nickel Institute, the Swedish Emergency Manage-
ity to cause harm, or should they examine whether
ment Agency, the Swedish Government Agency for Innovation
there is a real probability that these substances will
Systems, the Swedish Maritime Administration, the Swedish Re-
search Council, the Swedish Rescue Services Agency, the Swed-
actually cause harm, in part based on exposure4?
ish Road Administration, and the UK Department for Business
To be clear hazard assessment and risk assessment
Innovation and Skills.
are not mutually exclusive. In order to assess risks,
J. McCormick,
Environmental Policy in the European Union
(Basingstoke, UK: Palgrave 2001); A. Alemanno,
Trade in Food
it is necessary to first understand the hazard, so
– Regulatory and Judicial Approaches in the EU and the WTO
advocates of risk-based regulation are dependent on
(London: Cameron May 2007).
hazard classification taking place. The key compo-
K. Nordlander, C. Simon, and H. Pearson, "Hazard vs Risk in
EU Chemical Regulation", 1
European Journal of Risk Regulation
nent of the debate centres around whether regula-
(2010), pp. 239–250.
tory decision-making can/should be based on haz-
UK Royal Society,
Risk: Analysis, Perception, Management (Lon-
ard classification alone, eschewing risk assessment.
don: Royal Society 1992).
From an economics perspective, decision making
This paper focuses specifically on approaches to regulation of in-
dustrial chemicals rather than providing a broad brush approach
on the basis of just hazard classification usually ig-
examining European regulation.
nores impact assessment, which is a distinct factor
For an in-depth historic account of how regulations are devel-
and in so doing often contributes to poor regulatory
oped in Europe please look at G. Majone (ed.),
Regulating Eu-
rope (London: Routledge 1996).
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Some environmental non-governmental organi-
Nations Food Agricultural Organisation (FAO) and
sations (NGOs) and environmental lobby groups
the World Health Organisation (WHO)11.
denounce risk assessments and argue for more haz-
In other European nations, however, the use of
ard-based controls. For example, the International
hazard classifications has dominated the regulatory
Chemical Secretariat, one such NGO based in Goth-
discussions. Particularly interesting was the decision
enburg, Sweden, argues against risk assessment not-
to use hazard classifications in the formulation of
Sweden's goal to develop a toxic-free society by the
"The basis for risk assessment is the un-scientific belief
year 202012, as it arguably served as a basis for the
that risk can be foreseen and controlled. In an infinitely
development of the European Union's (EU) Chemical
complex system, such as chemicals, the risk is simply
White Paper of 200113 14 15.
impossible to anticipate.6
"
The first significant use of risk assessment in the
EU was associated with the 1993 Existing Substances
It is clear that in Europe there has been a rather long,
Regulation16. However, arguably it did not grow in
and at times acrimonious discussion, as to the mer-
popularity until the early part of this century follow-
its of risk assessments for regulatory purposes es-
ing the Commission's publication of its Communi-
pecially with regard to chemical substances. Indeed
cation on the precautionary principle17. This was in
until the early 1990s neither risk assessment nor risk
part due to the need to regain regulatory legitimacy
management featured in European law7. In the case
in Europe following considerable criticism18 19, as
C-180/96
UK v. Commission in 1998, for example,
well as to proactively address the call for harmonisa-
there was no mention of the term risk assessment8.
tion of this and related risk-based tools by the World
During the 1980s and 1990s some Member States
Trade Organisation's (WTO) Agreement on Sanitary
eagerly adopted the risk assessment methodology. In
and Phytosanitary Standards20. Indeed in that same
1995, for example, the Health Council of the Neth-
year the European Commission published its path
erlands took the view that risk assessment was an
breaking study
First Report on the Harmonisation of
integral part of the policy-making process9. Risk as-
Risk Assessment Procedures which had an aim to:
sessment as a key policy-making tool was accepted
"…promote an active debate on current practices for
in the early 1980s in the UK and made more popular
risk assessment used by the Scientific Committees of
due to the seminal 1983 Royal Society study on the
DG SANCO and to make proposals for developing con-
topic10. Similarly, regulatory agencies in a number
vergent approaches which will aid harmonisation21
".
of smaller Member States came to accept risk assess-ment methodologies and most of these now follow
The use of risk assessments and science-based risk
the risk assessment guidelines outlined by the United
management tools began to gain further ground in
International Chemical Secretariat, "Risk vs hazard", available on
14 R. Lofstedt, "Swedish Chemical Regulation: An Overview and
the Internet at <www.chemsec.org/chemsec/the-toxic-issue/risk-
Analysis", 23
Risk Analysis (2003), pp. 411–421.
vs-hazard> (last accessed on 31 March 2011).
15 I. Schorling, "The Green's Perspective on EU Chemicals Regu-
European Council, "Council Regulation (EEC) no 793/93 of 13th
lation and the White Paper", 23
Risk Analysis (2003), pp. 405–
March 1993 on the evaluation and control of the risks of existing
16 European Council, "Council Regulation (EEC) no 793/93 of 13th
E. Fisher, "Risk, Regulatory Concepts and the Law", in OECD
March 1993 on the evaluation and control of the risks of existing
(eds),
Risk and Regulatory Policy: Improving the Governance of
substances",
supra note 7.
Risk (Paris: OECD 2010).
17 European Commission,
"Communication from the Commis-
Health Council of the Netherlands,
Not All Risks are Equal, Pub-
sion on the Precautionary Principle" (Brussels: COM 2000 1
lication No. 1995 06E, Committee on Risk Measures and Risk As-
sessment (The Hague: Health Council of the Netherlands 1995).
10 UK Royal Society,
Risk Assessment (London: The Royal Society
18 E. Fisher, "The Rise of the Risk Commonwealth and the Challenge
for Administrative Law", 30
Public Law (2003), pp. 455–478.
Application of Risk Analysis to Food Standard Issues.
19 G. Majone,
Dilemmas of European Integration: The Ambiguities
Report of the Joint FAO/WHO Expert Consultation (Rome and
and Pitfalls of Integration by Stealth (Oxford: Oxford University
Geneva: FAO/WHO 1995).
Press 2005).
12 Swedish Cabinet Bill,
Svenska Miljomal: Miljopolitik for ett hall-
20 European Commission, "Communication from the Commission
bart Sverige [1997/1998 145] (Stockholm: Riksdagen 1997).
on the Precautionary Principle",
supra note 17.
13 European Commission,
White Paper: Strategy for a future chemi-
21 European Commission, "First Report on the Harmonisation of
cals policy (Brussels: COM 2001 88 Final).
Risk Assessment Procedures" (Brussels: DG SANCO), p. 6.
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2002 with the growing popularity of the so-called
sessment within the European food sector involving
"Better Regulation Agenda" and with it the use of
academics, stakeholders, regulators and industry26.
regulatory impact assessments (RIAs). These were
These discussions have not spread widely to other
seen as mechanisms to reduce regulatory burdens
regulatory domains, however. There has, for example,
within the Commission and elsewhere22. In the same
been limited case law discussing the use of risk as-
year the Commission adopted the General Food Law
sessment and management tools in setting regulation
(GFL)23. The GFL followed the Commission's White
in the non food sector, with the Pfizer, Alpha Pharma
Paper on Food Safety, which in turn was prompt-
and Gowan cases being notable exceptions27 28.
ed by a number of food scandals, most notably the spread of BSE (mad cow disease) in Europe. It called
In Europe, many food, pharmaceutical and health
for the separation of risk assessment from the risk-
regulators as well as policy makers are concerned
management process as a way to regain the trust of
about basing regulations on hazard classifications
European food consumers24. This risk assessment/
and implementing them via tools such as the pre-
management separation led to the establishment of
cautionary principle "better safe than sorry"29. As
the European Food Safety Authority (EFSA). Since
the House of Lords Select Committee on Economic
2002 this Authority has become the eminent scien-
Affairs argued in 2006:
tific risk-assessment authority for food policy issues
"In our view, the use of ill-defined and ambiguous
in Europe and has been involved in a number of con-
terms in risk management and regulatory documents
troversial issues ranging from genetically modified
is generally unhelpful. There is a danger that they can
foods to Bisphenol A25. As a result there has been
induce an excessively cautious attitude to risk"30
.
a rich and far ranging discussion regarding risk as-
Similarly the UK House of Commons Science and Technology Select Committee took the view:
22 For a useful discussion see R. Lofstedt, "The Swing of the Reg-
"We believe that it is best to use the term precaution-
ulatory Pendulum in Europe: From Precautionary Principle to
ary approach, but with a consistent explanation of the
(Regulatory) Impact Analysis", 28
Journal of Risk and Uncertainty
(2004), pp. 237–260.
degree and nature of the risks, benefits and uncertainty
23 European Council, "Regulation (EC) No 2002/178 of the European
and an explanation of the concept of proportionality.
Parliament and the Council of 28th January 2002 laying down the
It should never be considered a substitute for thorough
general principles and requirements of food law, establishing the
European Food Safety Authority and laying down procedures in
risk analysis which is always required when the science
the matters of food safety" (Brussels: European Council 2002).
is uncertain and the risks serious"31
.
24 E. Vos and F. Wendler, "Food Safety Regulation at the EU Level",
in E. Vos and F. Wendler (eds),
Food Safety Regulation in Europe
German policy makers working in the food area also
25 M. van Asselt and E. Vos, "Wrestling with Uncertain Risks: EU
view risk assessment as an integral part of the risk
Regulation of GMOs and the Uncertainty Paradox", 11
Journal
management process. As one policy maker noted:
of Risk Research (2008), pp. 281–300.
"I have my doubts as to whether you can take informed
26 M. Dreyer and O. Renn,
Food Safety Governance: Integrating Sci-
management decisions if you don't have relevant
ence, Precaution and Public Involvement (Berlin: Springer 2009).
knowledge, i.e. no competence in risk assessment … you
27 See, for example, E. Vos, "Antibiotics, the Precautionary Princi-
ple, and the Court of First Instance", 11
Maastricht Journal (2004),
just can't take management decisions without having
sufficiently detailed knowledge on risk assessment.32
"
28 The Pfizer and Alpharma judgments dealt with animal health is-
sues while the Gowan judgment was triggered by the authoriza-
tion process of a plant protection product.
Many environmental regulators and Green politi-
29 UK HM Treasury,
Reducing Administrative Burdens: Effective
cians, however, do not share this view. They see risk
Inspections and Enforcements ((
The Hampton Review) London:
assessments as inherently complex, non scientific
HM Treasury 2005).
and costly, and contend that regulations should be
30 UK House of Lords, Select Committee on Economic Affairs,
Gov-
ernment Policy on the Management of Risk, Volume 1 report
based on hazard assessments and substitution prin-
(London: The Stationary Office 2006), p. 25.
ciples. Inger Schorling, who for 10 years served as a
31 UK House of Commons, Science and Technology Committee,
Swedish Green MEP has argued:
Scientific Advice, Risk and Evidence Based Policy Making, Vol-
ume 1 (London: The Stationary Office 2006), p. 83.
"The only reasonable goal is to make the environment
32 This quote can be found in M. Dressel, S. Bochen, M. Schneider,
free from dangerous man-made chemicals and to try to
W. Viehover, M. Wastian and F. Wendler, "Food Safety Regula-
keep the levels of metals close to natural levels. When
tion in Germany", in E. Vos and F. Wendler (eds),
Food Safety
Regulation in Europe (Antwerpen: Intersentia 2006), p. 318.
there is a risk, the precautionary principle should be
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used. This means that the chemicals industry also has
This article attempts to answer these questions by ex-
a special responsibility. They should stop producing
amining in some detail two case studies namely: the
persistent and bioaccumulating chemicals and try to
phase-out of certain brominated flame retardants (in
particular deca-BDE) and the partial ban of bisphenol A (BPA) first in Denmark and France and then in the EU as a whole from 2011. This study is based on
1. Why these differences?
reviews of relevant academic articles on these three topics, a survey of the grey literature, most notably
Food and pharmaceutical regulators have a much
policy statements and background reports from the
narrower mandate compared to their environmental
European Chemicals Agency (ECHA), European
counterparts who operate in a very broad domain
Commission (in particular DG SANCO), European
focusing on human and environmental risks in the
Food Safety Authority (EFSA), the Swedish Chemi-
air, water and land domains34.
cal Agency and the Swedish Food Administration as
In terms of influence, budgets and policy interest
well as interviews with regulators, academics, policy
there have been historically huge differences between
makers, politicians and other stakeholders in Berlin,
these two areas. In Germany, for example, the state
Brussels, Copenhagen, Helsinki, London, Madrid,
established its first food regulator in 1876 (Kaiserli-
Maastricht, Paris, and Stockholm. The majority of
ches Gesundheitsamt) while the first national envi-
the research was conducted in the period between
ronment agency in that country did not come into
April and November 2010. In total forty-five expert
existence until 1971 following the passage of the
interviews were conducted36.
German Environmental Programme35. In addition, food and pharma regulators have generally had much bigger operational and research and development
II. Background – risk vs hazard
budgets than their environmental counterparts. In other words, quite rationally, people have preferred
What are some of the criticisms of risk assessments
spending funds on protecting human health from
and hazard classifications and how long have they
direct exposure to substances rather than making en-
been used in influencing policy making? These ques-
vironmental improvements. Is there any wonder that
tions are addressed in this section
environmental regulators with limited budgets and less political power overall will use the cheaper, and thereby more efficient, hazard classifications and the
1. A brief history of risk assessment
precautionary principle as a basis to justify the ban-ning of certain chemicals, metals and other materials?
The tools and ideas used in risk assessment have been around for millennia, determining everything to whether housing in Babylon was safe, to estimat-
2. Risk versus hazard: The key research
This study tries to address the following issues:
33 I. Schorling, "This Book: The Only Planet", in I. Schorling and G.
Lind,
The Only Planet Guide to the Secrets of Chemicals Policy in
a) How rigorously are the various European and na-
the EU: REACH What happened and Why? (Brussels: European
tional bodies using scientifically-based risk analy-
Parliament, The Green/European Free Alliance 2004), p. 3.
34 In addition one could argue that assessing risks from substances
that are directly ingested (via food or as a medicine) is less com-
b) Which European regulators, either at the EU or
plex than evaluating exposure to substances via the environment.
national level really favour risk assessments over
35 R. Wurzel,
Environmental Policy Making in Britain, Germany and
hazard classifications and what are the regulatory
the European Union (Manchester: Manchester University Press
trends in the environment and food area?
36 These interviews were not recorded but summarized after the
c) Do these various regulatory bodies have differ-
meeting in question. The information gleaned from them was
ent views on the use of risk vis-à-vis hazard than
primarily used to assist the author to gain a wider understanding
of the regulatory environment in the country or agency in ques-
politicians – Members of the European Parliament
tion. When a regulatory or policy maker was quoted in the text
or MPs and Ministers in the respective Member
below, this was done so anonymously. Prior to scientific peer re-
view the draft article was sent to the regulators and policy mak-
ers who were interviewed to ensure factual correctness.
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ing shipping loss in the middle-ages and understand-
sifying and packaging dangerous substances and
ing the probability of gambling37. It did not start to
the 1973 Swedish Act on hazardous chemical prod-
gain regulatory importance until the 1950s, however,
ucts41. In recent years hazard classifications have
when it was seen as a useful tool in predicting failure
increased in popularity within the environmental
of space bound vessels, as well as understanding the
arena where it is used in some European Member
safety of nuclear power stations and chemical plants,
States as a reason to ban certain chemicals and met-
work place safety, public health and environmental
als on the basis that they are endocrine disruptive,
hazards38. Today risk assessments, based on toxico-
bio-accumulative or cause cancer. In this regard
logical and or epidemiological data, are used as a ba-
regulators find that hazard classifications are cost
sis for many environmental and health regulations
effective and efficient for banning entire lines of
throughout the world39.
chemicals42. The Danish prohibition of Pentachlo-rophenol (PCP)43, the Swedish decision to aim for a toxic-free society by the year 202044, the Danish
2. History of hazard classification
and French bans and the EU proposed ban of bis-phenol A from baby bottles are all based on hazard
The use of hazard classifications for the setting of
regulation has been around for several hundreds of years. It served as a basis for setting chemical con-trol laws in Sweden in 1756, for example40, and has
3. Confusing risk with hazard
been increasingly used in Europe during the second half of the 20th century, including the 1967 Europe-
What makes the discussion rather more complicat-
an Council Directive (67/548/EEC) on labelling, clas-
ed, however, is that the public and many stakehold-ers confuse the terms risk and hazard, particularly when applied to chemicals45. In a detailed study by Peter Wiedemann and his colleagues for the Ger-
37 P. Bernstein,
Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk
(New York: John Wiley and Sons 1996).
man Federal Risk Assessment Bureau, more than
38 For an in-depth discussion please see D. Paustenbach (ed.),
Hu-
80 % of German respondents confused the terms46.
man and Ecological Risk Assessment: Theory and Practice (New
This is further complicated by the fact that most
York: John Wiley and Sons 2002).
of the research done in the field of risk analysis is
39 US National Research Council,
Science and Decisions: Advanc-
ing Risk Assessment (Washington DC: National Academy Press
primarily American in origin. Until recently, 90 %
of all research in the risk field was carried out in the
40 M. Karlsson, "The Precautionary Principle, Swedish Chemicals
United States for public and private bodies47. As a
Policy and Sustainable Development", 9
Journal of Risk Research
(2006), pp. 337–360.
result the whole language around risk assessment is
41 T. Christoforu, "The Precautionary Principle, Risk Assessment,
grounded in English, where there is a clear linguis-
and the Comparative Role of Science in the European Commu-
tic distinction between risk and hazard. That cru-
nity and the US Legal Systems", in N. Vig and M. Faure (eds),
Green Giants: Environmental Policies in the United States and
cial linguistic distinction is not the same in Dutch,
the European Union (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press 2004).
German or in Swedish, for example, which leads to
42 Swedish Committee on New Guidelines on Chemicals Policy,
greater confusion. As a case in point, the Swedish
Non Hazardous Products: Proposals for Implementation of New
language does not have an expression for hazard,
Guidelines on Chemicals Policy [SOU 2000:53] (Stockholm:
Fritzes 2000).
but rather the closest word is "fara" which means
43 96/211/EC, "Commission Decision of 26th February 1996 con-
cerning prohibition of pentachlorophenol (PCP) notified by Den-
mark",
Official Journal LO 68,19/03/1996, 0032-0040.
44 Lofstedt, "Swedish Chemical Regulation: An Overview and Anal-
ysis",
supra note 14.
4. Criticisms of risk and hazard
45 M. Tyshenko, K. Pillips, M. Mehta, R. Poirer, and W. Leiss, "Risk
Communication of Endocrine-Disrupting Chemicals: Improving
One of the main problems with hazard classifica-
Knowledge, Translation and Transfer", 11
Journal of Toxicology
and Environmental Health Part B (2008), pp. 345–350.
tions are that they are only one initial part of the
46 E. Ulbig, R. Hertel and G. Bol (eds),
Evaluation of Communica-
risk analysis process. That is to say, policy makers
tion on the Differences between "Risk" and "Hazard" (Berlin:
can take the decision to ban certain chemicals and
Federal Institute for Risk Assessment 2010).
metals on the assumption or idea that they may be
47 G. Majone, "Dilemmas of European Integration: The Ambiguities
and Pitfalls of Integration by Stealth",
supra note 19.
hazardous without testing whether this is actually
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the case48. Obviously, hazard assessments are quick-
cialists interviewed will have a basic understand-
er and cheaper to implement, but in the long term
ing of the topic at hand?
they can have significant consequences as they tend to ignore risk-risk tradeoffs49.
Based on these criteria the following case studies
Risk assessment has its problems too. In effect
were selected: Bisphenol A and the Brominated flame
both risk assessments and risk management strategies
retardant Deca-BDE. After an initial set of interviews
limit the power of the administrator. By arguing for
with the UK Food Standards Agency and the UK
these tools, administrators establish de-facto scientific
Health and Safety Executive (the UK competent
boundaries for what they can and cannot regulate50.
authority for REACH) it was clear that policy mak-
In other words, policy makers may have less freedom
ers and regulators felt comfortable discussing these
to politically regulate in a world where risk assessment
cases. Each case study is divided into three distinct
and management tools are used. In addition, histori-
sections: background, political and NGO attention
cally risk assessments have been based on a wide array
and risk or hazard issue?
of different methodologies leading in turn to different outcomes, which decrease their usefulness in terms of predictability51. Other critics of the model feel that
the narrowness of the focus, often limited to what can be measured quantitatively52, ensures that the is-
sues that cannot be measured in this way (e.g. human values) are ignored53. Although risk assessments are
Bisphenol A, or BPA, is a human-made chemical
more comprehensive to their very nature than hazard
used in the manufacture of plastics, that was first
classifications, they are not always pure scientific af-
developed in 189157. It was initially intended as a
fairs. In cases when there are high levels of scientific
useful synthetic oestrogen hormone to help women
uncertainty, expert judgements are often used, which
with a wide range of female sexual fertility issues58.
in turn can at times be incorrect54. Finally, as risk as-
By the early 1950s scientists were using BPA for
sessment are often expensive and time consuming, critics argue that they can be open to abuse by exter-nal bodies who may benefit from delay – for example,
48 D. Paustenbach, "Human and Ecological Risk Assessment: The-
by injecting some form of scientific uncertainty they
ory and Practice",
supra note 38.
can delay regulation yet further. This does not there-
49 J. Graham and J. Wiener,
Risk vs Risk: Tradeoffs in Protecting
Health and the Environment (Cambridge, MA: Harvard Univer-
fore necessarily lead to better regulatory decisions55 56.
sity Press 1995).
50 J. Applegate, "A Beginning Not an End in Itself: The Role of Risk
Assessment in Environmental Decision Making", 63
University
III. The two case studies
of Cincinnati Law Review (1995), pp. 1643–1678.
51 P. Montague, "Reducing the Harms Associated with Risk Assess-
ments", 24
Environmental Impact Assessment Review (2004),
To address the question of how European and nation-
pp. 733–748.
al authorities actually regulate risk, two case studies
52 W.K. Viscusi,
Rational Risk Policy (New York: Oxford University
were selected for examination following discussions
Press 1998).
with policy makers and regulators in both Brussels
53 B. Ackerman and L. Heinzerling,
Priceless: On Knowing the Price
of Everything and the Value of Nothing (New York: The New Press
and London. Selection was based on the following
54 D. Michaels,
Doubt is Their Product: How Industry's Assault on
a) Is the case in question "European" in scope? That
Science Threatens your Health (New York: Oxford University
Press 2008).
is has it been discussed in multiple Member States
55 T. McGarity and W. Wagner,
Bending Science: How Special In-
as well as within the European Commission?
terests Corrupt Public Health Research (Cambridge, MA: Harvard
b) Is it comparatively easy to get data on the case? Is
University Press 2008).
there information in the public domain that can
56 W. Wagner, "The Science Charade in Toxic Risk Regulation", 95
Columbia Law Review, pp. 1613–1720.
be gathered and analysed?
57 For a good policy overview on BPA see A. Alemanno, "The Fab-
c) Are policy makers, stakeholders and regulators
ulous Destiny of Bisphenol A (BPA)", 1
European Journal of Risk
willing to speak about the case in question? and
Regulation (2010), pp. 397–400.
d) Have the selected case studies received at least
58 S.A. Vogel, "The Politics of Plastics: The Making and Unmaking
of Bisphenol A ‘Safety'", 99
American Journal of Public Health,
some media attention, ensuring that the non spe-
S3, pp. 559–566.
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the manufacture of epoxy resins. These resins were
findings. His first paper on the topic, published in
turned into long lasting and durable coatings found
1997, indicated higher than anticipated oestrogen re-
on anything from steel drums to false teeth. By 1957
sponses63. Since this initial study, Dr. vom Saal and
chemists were using BPA in the manufacturing of
his colleagues at the University of Missouri have car-
hard, transparent, and rather heat resistant plastic
ried out a number of small scale studies on mice (and
material called polycarbonate to replace glass con-
more recently in-vitro) examining how they respond
tainers for food and electronic products, including
to low doses of BPA. To date the majority of these
baby bottles59. The epoxy resins found in packaging
studies have not been replicated by other research-
materials serve a variety of purposes. They act as a
ers64. Most of these studies were carried out on a
protective lining on the inside of metal-based food
small number of mice and did not therefore meet
and beverage cans, halting the corrosion of cans and
the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and De-
limiting the contamination of foods. When used in
velopment (OECD) defined Good Laboratory Practice
bottles polycarbonate can increase heat resistance
(GLP). However, they indicate that very low levels of
and durability. Most studies indicate that BPA in
exposure to BPA, via injection into the blood stream
food packaging provides high level of food safety
of mice or (less often) given to them orally, may have
and value to food supply60.
significant health effects including reproductive ab-
The controversy surrounding BPA began in the
normalities, obesity, breast and prostate cancer and
early 1990s when a number of researchers at Stan-
neurobehavioral problems in mice65 66.
ford University in the United States realised that the
The studies by vom Saal and his colleagues did not
chemical was migrating from the plastic (polycarbon-
initially change the regulatory policy climate regard-
ate) laboratory bottles into the water that they were
ing the safety of BPA. Regulators in the US (the FDA
using61. This sparked concern that BPA might be mi-
in particular) and elsewhere (e.g. the European Food
grating from packaging used for consumer products
Safety Authority (EFSA) examined the research find-
and that BPA, similar to other artificial and natural
ings but viewed them as somewhat unreliable67. They
hormones (e.g. female birth-control pills), might also
suffered from a combination of lack of reproducibil-
be an endocrine disrupter. At this time, endocrine
ity and small sample sizes. The studies focused on
disruption was starting to be much discussed in both
low doses and primarily addressed injection into the
the US and Europe by policy makers, regulators and
blood stream rather than oral administration, which
academics following the publication of a number of
may have better reflected real-world consumption68.
books and articles, most notably
Our Stolen Future62.
The supposed level of BPA uptake is significantly dif-
One researcher who is highly active in the field of
ferent depending on the method of administration.
endocrine disruption is Dr. Frederic vom Saal of the
For example, after reviewing the research conducted
University of Missouri, who began testing artificial
by vom Saal and his colleagues, EFSA's BPA 2008
oestrogens, including BPA, following the Stanford
panel took the view that BPA is safer than initially
59 K. Aschenberger, P. Castello, E. Hoekstra, S. Karakitsios, S. Munn,
guidelines requiring appropriate positive controls in endocrine dis-
S. Pakalin, and D. Sarigiannis,
Bisphenol A and Baby Bottles: Chal-
ruption research' by vom Saal", 115
Toxicological Sciences (2010),
lenges and Perspectives (Ispra: European Commission, Joint Re-
pp. 614–620.
search Centre 2010).
65 Vogel, "The Politics of Plastics: The Making and Unmaking of Bi-
60 For a good review see K. Aschenberger
et al.,
Bisphenol A and
sphenol A ‘Safety'",
supra note 58.
Baby Bottles: Challenges and Perspectives,
supra note 59.
66 F. vom Saal and C. Huges, "An Extensive New Literature Concern-
61 A. Krishnan, P. Strathis, S. Permuth, L. Tikes, and D. Feldman, "Bis-
ing Low-Dose Effects of Bisphenol A shows the Need for a New
phenol A: An Estrogenic Substance is Released from Polycarbonate
Risk Assessment", 113
Environmental Health Perspectives (2005),
Flasks during Autoclaving", 132
Endocrinology (1993), pp. 2279–2286.
pp. 926–933.
62 T. Colborn, D. Dumanoski and J. Myers,
Our Stolen Future (New
67 EFSA examined the research findings surrounding Bisphenol A on
York: Penguin Books 1996).
three separate occasions, most recently in 2010, eg., EFSA, "Sci-
63 S. Nagel, F. vom Saal, K. Thayer, M. Boechler and W. Welshons,
entific opinion of Bisphenol A; Evaluation of a study investigating
"Relative Binding Affinity: Serum Modified Access (RBA-SMA) As-
its neurodevelopmental toxicity, review of recent scientific litera-
say Predicts the Relative in Vivo Bioactivity of the Xenoestrogens
ture on its toxicity and advice on the Danish risk assessment of
Bisphenol A and Octylphenol", 105
Environmental Health Perspec-
Bisphenol A", 1829
EFSA Journal (2010), pp.1–110.
tives (1997), pp. 70–76.
68 T. Butterworth,
Science Suppressed: How America Became Ob-
64 See, for example, L. Gray jr., B. Ryan, A. Hotchkiss and K. Croft-
sessed with BPA (Washington DC: George Mason University's
on, "Rebuttal of ‘flawed experimental design reveals the need for
Center for Health and Risk Communication STATS 2009).
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thought and suggested increasing the daily safety
ratory studies75. Prior to the EFSA ruling, a letter
threshold of consumption by a factor of five69.
authored by vom Saal and Breast Cancer UK, and
Similarly two large studies, including one from
signed by 60 scientists and international environ-
Harvard University, question the validity of vom
ment, health, and women's organisations to the EFSA
Saal's findings. They note that they are inconsistent
on the 23rd June 2010, asked the Agency to push for
and there are therefore doubts as to whether there
a ban of the chemical noting:
are any real functional or physical impairments
"action is necessary to reduce the levels of Bisphenol-A
caused by BPA administered to mice70 71. Vom Saal
exposure, particularly in groups at highest risk, namely
and Hughes have in turn questioned these find-
young infants and pregnant mothers76
.
Environmental groups and a number of academ-
The issue is complicated by the fact that the oppo-
ics have taken the view that vom Saal's findings are
nents to BPA continue to attack scientific findings
correct and that the findings of other academics, in-
that do not agree with the earlier low dose findings,
dustry, and the regulators are simply wrong. This ar-
taking the view that regulatory agencies base their
gument became cemented in 2006 when 38 experts
decisions on outdated guidelines that were estab-
working on endocrine disrupters, led by vom Saal,
lished 50 years ago77.
met in Chapel Hill, North Carolina and put forward
In addition, in 2010 there was a heated debate in
a consensus statement arguing that the levels of BPA
the journal
Toxicological Sciences regarding the ef-
at concentrations found in the human body corre-
fects of BPA as an endocrine disrupter in rats. One
three-year study showed that feeding pregnant rats
"organisational changes in prostate, breast, testis,
BPA at doses 4000 times higher than the maximum
mammary glands, body size, brain structure and
exposure to humans produced no adverse effects;
chemistry, and behaviour of laboratory animals.73
"
while the positive control group of pregnant rats fed with the synthetic oestrogen used in birth controls
This consensus statement combined with vom Saal's active media work and outcries from some environ-mental groups started to change the nature of the
69 EFSA, "Scientific opinion of the panel on food additives, flavour-
debate regarding the safety of BPA.
ings, processing aids and materials in contact with food (AFC) re-
By mid 2008, several policy makers responding to
lated to toxicokinetics of Bisphenol A. Question EFSA –Q-2008-
382", 759
EFSA Journal (2008), pp. 1–10.
expressions of public concern and media pressures,
70 J. Goodman, E. McConnell, I. Sipes
et al., "An Updated Weight
began arguing for local and country-wide bans of
of the Evidence Evaluation of Reproductive and Developmental
BPA-containing plastics. In October 2008, following
Effects of Low Doses of Bisphenol A", 26
Critical Review of Toxi-
cology 2006, pp. 387–457.
a number of critical BPA articles in the
Toronto Globe and Mail referencing the work of vom Saal and oth-
71 G. Gray, J. Cohen, G. Cunha
et al., "Weight of the Evidence Eval-
uation of Low-Dose Reproductive and Developmental Effects
ers, Health Canada (the Canadian food and health
of Bisphenol A", 10
Human Ecological Risk Assessment (2004),
regulator) took the ground breaking decision to ban
pp. 875–921.
BPA from baby bottles citing the precautionary prin-
72 Vom Saal and Hughes, "An Extensive New Literature Concern-
ing Low-Dose Effects of Bisphenol A shows the Need for a New
Risk Assessment",
supra note 66.
Following the baby bottle ban in Canada, in-
73 F. vom Saal, B. Akingbemi, S. Belcher
et al., "Chapel Hill Bisphe-
creased pressure was put on the European bodies to
nol A Expert Panel Consensus Statement: Integration of Mecha-
nisms, Effects in Animals and Potential to Impact Human Health at
ban BPA-containing plastic containers used by small
Current Levels of Exposure", 24
Reproductive Toxicology, p. 134.
children as well. Due in part to the international pres-
74 Health Canada, "Government of Canada protects families with
sure there have been five scientific evaluations of the
bisphenol A regulations", Press release from Health Canada on
safety of BPA in Europe all indicating that the dan-
75 See, for example, Vogel, "The Politics of Plastics: The Making
gers of BPA leaching out from baby bottles and other
and Unmaking of Bisphenol A ‘safety'",
supra note 58.
mechanisms have been overstated.
76 A. Carterbow, "Joint action of NGOs and scientists to call for
This, however, has not stopped critics from ques-
a reduction of BPA exposure, especially for children and preg-
nant women" (Brussels: Women in Europe for a Common Future
tioning the EFSA's findings. They argue, for example,
that they do not take into account the low dose (non
77 F. vom Saal, B. Akingbemi, S. Belcher
et al., "Flawed Experimental
GLP) studies carried out by vom Saal that appear to
Design Reveals the Need for Guidelines Requiring Appropriate
Positive Controls in Endocrine Disruption Research", 115
Toxi-
show that BPA can have effects on rodents in labo-
cological Sciences (2010), pp. 612–613.
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did78. This study was attacked by vom Saal et al for
were the same that led Denmark to impose the above
having a flawed study design – the rats were insen-
mentioned temporary ban on BPA in food contact
sitive to low dose oestrogens79. The study authors
materials for children ages 0–3 years of age. On the
challenged this, noting that science is about replicat-
30th September 2010, the EFSA published its evalua-
ing studies in order to verify them, and if this is not
tion of these studies and concluded that no research
possible then the original science was incorrect80.
could be identified that would lead to a revision of
In spring 2010 Denmark put forward a temporary
the current tolerable daily intake (TDI) levels based
national ban on BPA in materials that are in contact
on a No-Observed-Adverse-Effect-Level (NOAEL) of
with food for children aged 0–3 years of age. The ban
0,05 mg/kg b.w./day from a multi-generational repro-
came into effect on July 1st 2010. In France on the 25th
ductive study carried out on rats82. This opinion was
March 2010, the Senate forwarded a draft law to the
questioned by both stakeholders and representatives
National Assembly prohibiting the manufacture, im-
from Denmark and France who noted that their bans
portation or exportation of baby bottles, which was
would remain in place. Per Rosander of the Interna-
approved in May 2010. In the summer of 2010 the
tional Chemical Secretariat argued:
Swedish Environmental Minister, Andreas Carlgren,
"The EFSA decision is very unsatisfactory. There are
asked the Swedish Chemicals Agency to develop a
a large number of studies showing health risks with
proposal on how to best design a ban on BPA in baby
BPA.83
".
bottles and other plastic products noting that:
"It is unacceptable that young children are exposed to
Following the EFSA decision, the EU risk manage-
the risks that have been proven to be associated with
ment authority for food and consumer affairs (DG
bisphenol A, especially when changing to alternative
SANCO) instigated a discussion with EU Member
materials is easy. This is why we are now making the
States on how to best minimise exposure of infants
first move by preparing a national ban.81
"
to BPA focusing on the possibility of a ban. On the 26th November the Standing Committee on the Food
This Swedish analysis will be completed no later
Chain and Animal Health voted in favour of the
than 31st of March 2011. In 2009 the EFSA was asked
Commission's proposal for a Directive that would
once again to re-evaluate the safety of BPA, follow-
ban BPA from plastic infant feeding bottles. This ban
ing a number of studies, notably Stump et al 2009,
will go in effect as of mid 2011with Commissioner
which examined a link between BPA in diets and
Dalli justifying it by arguing:
development of neurotoxicity in rats. These studies
"… In the view of the recent opinion of EFSA, I had stressed that there were areas of uncertainty, deriv-ing from new studies, which showed that BPA might
78 B. Ryan, A. Hotchkiss, K. Crifton and L. Gray Jr., "In Utero and
have an effect on the development, immune response
Lactational Exposure to Bisphenol A, in Contrast to Ethinyl Estra-
or tumour promotion. The decision taken today is good
diol, does not alter Sexually Dimporphic Behaviour, Fertility, and
Anatomy of female LE Rats", 115
Toxicological Sciences (2010),
news for European parents who can be sure that as of
pp. 133–148.
mid -2011 plastic infant feeding bottles will not contain
79 Vom Saal
et al., "Flawed Experimental Design Reveals the Need
BPA84
. (Dalli in European Commission 2010)
for Guidelines Requiring Appropriate Positive Controls in Endo-
crine Disruption Research",
supra note 77.
et al., "Rebuttal of ‘Flawed Experimental Design Reveals
the Need for Guidelines Requiring Appropriate Positive Design
Controls in Endocrine Disruption Research' by vom Saal",
supra
b. Political and public outcry
81 Quote from Andreas Carlgren comes from a press release issued
In Europe BPA is a "hot" political topic, although the
by the Swedish Ministry for the Environment, "Government pre-
extent varies across Member States. Clearly the topic
paring a national ban on bisphenol A in baby bottles", 29 July
is hotter in Denmark than in the UK, for example,
82 EFSA, "Scientific opinion on bisphenol A",
supra note 67.
even though Breast Cancer UK is trying to widen its
83 Quote from Per Rosander comes from a press release issued by
campaigning credentials by pushing for an anti BPA
the International Chemical Secretariat, "EFSA fails to lower EU
platform. And one of the main drivers for national
limit on BPA and protect the health of EU's citizens", 8 October
bans on BPA is politics. In Denmark, for example, it
84 Quote from Commissioner Dalli is taken from a press release is-
was the far right People's Party (Dansk Folkeparti)
sued by the European Commission, "Bisphenol A: Commission
that helped to hold up the centre-right coalition and
welcomes ban in baby bottles by Member States", 26th Novem-
pushed for a ban on BPA in baby bottles in order
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to attract votes85. Similarly in Sweden, Carlgren's
these substances (plastics for example are mostly pet-
announcement on the 29th July occurred in the run
rol-based products) in combination with the fact that
up to a national election (19th September 2010). In
they are often located near or part of heat and elec-
France the discussion surrounding BPA is the brain
tricity sources (e.g. televisions and computers) there
child of the French politician Yvonne Collin, of the
has been a significant amount of legislation introduc-
Parti Radical de Gauche. Surprisingly, the debate sur-
ing ever stricter fire safety requirements associated
rounding BPA has not received much EU-wide media
with the use of these appliances and other products.
attention. There was a series of "scare" articles in the
One of the most popular ways to satisfy these re-
UK
Independent in May 2010 attempting to get BPA
quirements is through the use of flame retardants,
on the national policy agenda, but these were not
and of these brominated types account for 32 % of
picked up by the other more influential media and
all those used88. The popularity of brominated flame
soon fizzled out. Similarly the debate on BPA in Scan-
retardants (BFRs) is down to their inherent thermal
dinavia has been largely muted. As one Swedish food
stability, overall strong performance (compared to
the alternatives) and cost effectiveness89.
"This has been a political rather than a media issue.
As modern day flame retardants are found in a
The main newspapers have been rather quiet about
wide array of products, both in homes and busi-
BPA, and it was only one of the tabloids that ran a
nesses, they are widely dispersed. Because they can
front page cover story in August regarding the high
be removed through leaching, abrasion or volatilisa-
levels of BPA found on shopping receipts." (Swedish
tion, and are inherently stable – they are designed to
Food regulator, September 2010).
last for the life time of a product, they can, albeit in small amounts, be found more or less anywhere90. To make matters worse, some flame retardants are
c. Risk versus hazard and BPA
bio-accumulative91. As a result there are health and environmental concerns regarding the use of flame
The discussions surrounding how to best regulate
retardants, particularly brominated ones. These are
BPA have been largely based on a debate around
particularly stable and have a high affinity for fats
whether to use risk or hazard classifications. Some
compared to other flame retardants, tending towards
regulators that have established controls based on
a greater degree of bio-accumulation92. These con-
data produced by small non-GLP studies86, rather
cerns have led to generalisations made about bromi-
than large conclusive ones, using the argument that the substance is an endocrine disruptor and there-fore can cause a hazard. This hazard classification
85 Please see press release from the Dansk Folkeparti, "DF sikrer
forbud mod Bisphenol A I sutteflasker", 26th March, 2010.
is in their view sufficient for a ban. However, other regulators, most notably the EFSA and the UK Food
86 For an illuminating discussion on the pros and cons of GLP, please
see R. Alcock, B. MacGillivray and J. Busby, "Understanding the
Standards Agency, rely on the large studies that are
Mismatch Between Demands of Risk Assessment and Practice of
available and also take into account exposure to
Scientists – The Case of Deca-BDE",
Environment International,
make the judgement that current safety standards
87 P. Fisk, A. Girling, and R. Wildey,
Prioritisation of Flame Retard-
ants for Environmental Risk Assessment (Wallingford, UK: UK
Environment Agency 2004).
88 UK Royal Society for Chemistry,
Environmental Health and Safety
Committee Note on: Why do we worry about brominated flame
2. Brominated flame retardants –
retardants? (London: Royal Society for Chemistry 2008).
The case of Deca-BDE
et al., "Prioritisation of Flame Retardants for Environmental
Risk Assessment",
supra note 87.
et al., "Understanding the Mismatch Between Demands
of Risk Assessment and Practice of Scientists – The Case of De-
ca-BDE",
supra note 86.
Over the last hundred years there have been moves
91 See, for example, M. Ikonomou, S. Rayne, and R. Addison, "Ex-
away from wood and metal products to synthetic car-
ponential Increases of Brominated Flame Retardants and Poly-
brominated Diphenyl Ethers in the Canadian Arctic from 1981
bon-based polymers with high fuel values, including
to 2000", 36
Environmental Science and Technology (2002),
automotive parts, textiles, furniture fabrics and hous-
pp. 1886–1892.
ings for electronic equipment and surface coatings of
92 International Chemicals Secretariat,
Electronics Without Bromi-
nated Flame Retardants and PVC – A Market Review (Gothen-
other materials87. Because of the high fuel values of
burg: International Chemicals Secretariat 2010).
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nated flame retardants (BFR) (which number some
In 2002 the European Union passed the so-called
75 commercialised substances) and the even broader
Restriction of the use of certain Hazardous Substanc-
one of the halogenated flame retardants (i. e. includ-
es (RoHS) Directive which calls for a restriction on
ing chlorinated substances).
the use of a number of hazardous substances found
A number of national regulators have called for
in electrical and electronic equipment, including
bans or substitutions of several brominated flame re-
some flame retardants. When the Directive passed,
tardants (BFRs). For example, the Swedish Chemical's
however, it required a review of the substances pend-
Agency recommended a ban of two BFRs in 199993,
ing restriction in order to take into account any EU
while in the same year the Danish Environmental
risk assessments98 that had been conducted before
Protection Agency published a study reviewing their
the RoHS came into effect in 2006. When this review
marketing, properties and uses94. In Germany the
was completed, the European Commission concluded
Environmental Ministry published a multi-volume
that Deca-BDE should be exempted from the RoHS
study assessing the hazards of BFRs95. BFRs, how-
Directive because there were no human or environ-
ever, are not identical and therefore should not be
mental risks justifying a restriction99. In 2008, how-
treated as such. In Europe, the penta- and octabro-
ever, following complaints from the European Parlia-
modiphenyl ethers have more or less been taken off
ment and Denmark, supported by Finland, Portugal,
the market, while the most widely use BFR, deca-Bro-
Norway, and Sweden, the European Court of Justice
minated Diphenyl Ether (deca-BDE) has less hazard-
decided to annul it100. This led to a ban on the use
ous properties96. A number of studies over the past
of Deca-BDE in electrical and electronic equipment
15 years have shown that deca-BDE does not pose
from 1st July 2008. The annulment, however, was not
human and environmental health risks and therefore
based on scientific grounds but on procedural issues
does not need to be further regulated97.
concerning how Deca-BDE became exempt outside of the purview of the European Parliament101.
The debate regarding Deca-BDE stems from vari-
93 Swedish Chemicals Agency,
Phase-out of PBDEs and PBBs: Report
on a Governmental Commission (Sundbyberg: Swedish Chemi-
ations in fire safety requirements across the EU due
cals Agency 1999).
in large part to divergent perceptions regarding its
94 Danish Environment Agency,
Brominated Flame Retardants: Sub-
benefits. The UK, for example, has particularly strict
stance Flow Analysis and Assessment of Alternatives (Copenha-
gen: Danish Environment Agency 1999).
fire standards, especially related to furnishings as a
95 German Environment Ministry
, Substituting Environmentally Rel-
consequence of observed rises of fires in dwellings
evant Flame Retardants: Assessment and Fundamentals (Bonn:
in the 1960s and 1970s with deaths peaking at 865
German Environment Ministry 2000).
in 1979. A large number of these fatalities involved
96 R. Alcock and J. Busby, "Risk Mitigation and Scientific Advice: The
Case of Flame Retardant Compounds", 26
Risk Analysis (2006),
foam-filled furniture (furniture accounted for 7.5 %
pp. 369–382.
of the fires but 35 % of the deaths)102 leading to the
97 See, for example, US National Academy of Sciences,
Toxicologi-
introduction of the 1988 Furniture and Furnishings
cal Risks of Selected Flame-Retardant Chemicals (Washington,
DC: National Academy Press 2000).
Fire Safety Regulations (FFRs), which are above the
98 European Commission,
"European Commission Risk Assessment
European fire safety standards. Results of the FFR
Report Bis (pentabromophenyl) ether" (Luxembourg: Office of
regulations indicate, that accounting for fire alarms
the Official Publications of the European Communities 2002).
and more educated publics, that in the period of
99 European Commission, "Commission Decision 2005/717/EC-
1988-1997 approximately 710 lives had been saved
exemption of DecaBDE from the prohibition of use" (Brussels:
and in the period 2002-2007 the FFR regulations
100 B. MacGillivray, R. Alcock, and J. Bussby, "Is Risk-Based Regula-
have led to an additional 54 fewer deaths and 1065
tion Feasible? The Case of Polybrominated Diphenyl Ethers (PB-
fewer fires each year103. Based on the UK concerns
DEs)", 31
Risk Analysis (2011), pp. 266–281.
with regard to fire safety it is not surprising that the
101 Case C-14/06 and C-295/06,
Parliament v. Commission [2008]
ECR p. I-1649.
UK was the only member State country supporting
102 University of Surrey,
The Effectiveness of the Furniture and Fur-
the European Commission over its exemption of De-
nishings (Fire)(Safety) Regulations 1988 (London: Department
ca-BDE in the European Court of Justice 2008 court
of Trade and Industry 2000).
case. Many others, such as Denmark and Germany,
103 Greenstreet Berman,
A Statistical Report to Investigate the Ef-
fectiveness of the Furniture and Furnishings (Fire) (Safety) Regu-
have much weaker fire safety standards, while oth-
lations 1988 (London: Department of Business, Innovation and
ers do not have any fire safety requirements on cer-
Skills 2009).
tain products104. As there is no consensus about how
104 Fisk
et al., "Prioritisation of Flame Retardants for Environmental
Risk Assessment",
supra note 87.
tough fire safety standards should be, it will be dif-
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ficult to get a consensus on whether flame retardants
certain hazardous properties as discussed previously,
such as Deca-BDE should be used. As one anonymous
and research shows high levels of public concern to-
Danish regulator noted:
wards these type of chemicals110 111.
"The Brits are much more worried about fire safety than us. They want to use even more flame retardants than are presently used today, rather than following
3. Risk and hazard assessment –
our example of trying to minimise the risk in the first
Is it predictable?
place, such as, by asking our stereo manufacturers to move all combustible materials far away from the heat
In both of these case studies hazard was advocated
source." (Interview September 2010).
to justify bans. Both cases carry a strong Scandina-vian flavour – that is to say that either Denmark and/or Sweden were heavily involved for pushing for the
b. Political and public outcry
ban of both chemicals. These nations are not always in favour of hazard assessments and bans. When
There has been a considerable amount of pressure
the substances concerned impact on the economies
from NGOs, policy makers and regulators to ban and
or heritage of these nations they, like other Member
substitute BFRs, because of the bio-accumulation is-
States, will base their regulatory decisions on risk as-
sue. This pressure has been particularly strong in the
sessments. One example of this is the Finnish and
Nordic countries where there have been a number of
Swedish temporary exemption (needs to be renewed
leading research institutions looking into the hazards
every 5 years) on Baltic herring and salmon containing
of BFRs105, and strong support from environmental
high levels of PCBs and dioxin within their Member
NGOs, regulators (such as the Swedish Chemical
States. In 2001 the Commission put forward a regula-
Agency) and other bodies. BFRs have also received a
tion that set maximum levels of contaminants includ-
significant amount of media attention following the
ing dioxins and furans in food stuffs, including fish112.
World Wildlife Fund (WWF) bio-monitoring (blood) campaigns which show that we have some BFRs in our bodies, leading to further media amplification
105 P. Eriksson, E. Jakobsson, and A. Frederiksson, "Brominated Flame
and rising public concern106. These concerns are
Retardants: A Novel Class of Developmental Neurotoxicants in
our Environment?, 109
Environmental Health Perspectives (2001),
based on the hazard as opposed to any calculation
pp. 903–908.
of the actual risk.
106 J. Busby, R. Alcock, and B. MacGillivray, "Interrupting the Social
Amplification of Risk Process: A Case Study in Collective Emis-
sions Reduction", 10
Environmental Science and Policy (2009),
pp. 297–308.
c. Risk versus hazard
107 J. Flynn, P. Slovic and H. Kunreuther (eds),
Risk, Media and Stig-
ma: Understanding Public Challenges to Modern Science and
BFRs, and in particular Deca-BDEs, have been regu-
Technology (London: Earthscan 2001).
lated in Europe based on a hazard. Arguably Deca-
108 R. Gregory, J. Flynn and P. Slovic, "Technological Stigma", 83
American Scientist (1995), pp. 220–223.
BDE has been banned from electronic goods and
109 A. Williamns and J. DeSesso, "The Potential of Selected Bromi-
products based on the so-called class stigmatisation
nated Flame Retardants to Affect Neurological Development",
effect107. In a classic article on the topic, Gregory
et
13
Journal of Toxicology and Environmental Health Part B (2010),
pp. 411–448.
al. argue that the initial cause of technological stigma
110 P. Slovic, "Perception of Risk", 236
Science (1987), pp. 280–285.
is some form of event or occurrence that becomes
111 Not all EU institutions are supportive of precautionary decisions
amplified by the media, sending a strong signal of
against brominated flame retardants. In a recent decision by the
abnormal risk. Stigmatised products usually have
European Parliament and the EU Council of Ministers regarding
the Restriction of Hazardous Substances in electrical and elec-
highly hazardous properties and are perceived nega-
tronic equipment (RoHS Directive) the Green MEP rapporteur,
tively by the public108. Deca-BDE ticked all of these
Jill Evans, proposed a total ban of all brominated flame retard-
ants which was refused as was her compromise position to list
boxes. There have been a multitude of scientific stud-
all brominated and chlorinated flame retardants in an annex as
ies, most of them based on small samples and drawn
priority substances for review. Such an approach would have
employed a precautionary hazard approach by targeting these
up in laboratory facilities rather than actual field ex-
substances as leading candidates for future restriction (Chemical
ercises and making in some cases allegedly unsub-
Watch 2010).
stantiated claims109. In addition Deca-BDE is often
112 EC 2375/2001 of 29th November 2001 amending Commission
Regulation 466/2001 setting the maximum levels for dioxin and
clumped together with the other BFRs that do have
furans (Brussels: European Commission).
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Finland and Sweden, backed by risk assessments not-
1. The pushers and pul ers for chemical
ing that the benefits of eating contaminated fish (e.g.,
and environmental regulation
Omega 3s) outweighed the risks113, initially received an exemption until 2006 initially, and subsequently
Although Europe is now seen as the leading environ-
extended till 2011114. As one Swedish regulator inter-
mental regulator in the world115 all European Mem-
viewed for this study candidly noted:
ber States do not agree with the regulations put for-
"It is in a way odd that we have double standards.
ward by the European authorities. Rather it is more
We will use science based risk assessments to defend
the case that some nations attempt to win green cred-
products that we care about and which have direct
it by attempting to ban certain chemical substances.
impact on our economy such as forest products, but for
As these nations are members of the wider European
products that have no notable impacts on our economy
Union, it makes no sense to push only for a domes-
but which we as regulators or as members of the public
tic ban, as there is always the legal threat that the
are concerned about we invoke hazard classifications
European Union could call for a ban to be revoked
to ensure that they are banned" (Swedish regulator
(as was the case with Sweden putting forward an
September 2010).
unilateral ban on Deca-BDE a few years ago). Rather these Member States try to win over their domestic audiences by pushing through European-wide bans.
IV. Discussion and analysis
For example, the Swedish socialist MEP, Asa West-lund, argued as part of her re-election campaign that
The two case studies show significant inconsisten-
she was helping the Swedes from being inundated by
cies in the application of risk and hazard assess-
dangerous chemicals by her political efforts in the
ments for regulation setting throughout Europe. EU
European Parliament116. Indeed, Danish and Swed-
Member States have different concerns about risk
ish regulatory authorities are widely regarded as the
topics. UK authorities, for example, worry about
pioneers of present day EU chemical regulation117 118.
fires while Swedish policy makers are concerned
These Member States have also put forward Euro-
by man-made chemicals. What are the reasons for
pean legislation to ban Deca-BDE (Denmark led the
these differentiating cultural views on regulations,
effort in getting the Deca-BDE exemption revoked),
and what are the consequences of them? Is more
the phase-out of antibiotics in animal feed119, as well
dialogue between regulators and policy makers
as a host of other chemicals (e.g., paraquat)120. The
reason why these Scandinavian regulatory bodies have been so successful in their European banning efforts is a combination of three distinct factors.
113 O. Leino, M. Tainio, and J. Tuomisto, "Comparative Risk Analysis
of Dioxins in Fish and Fine Particles from Heavy-Duty Vehicles",
28
Risk Analysis (2008), pp. 127–140.
a. The rise of the post-trust society
114 I. Anderson and M. Aune,
Redovisning av uppdrag rorande grans-
varden for langlivade miljoforengar I fisk fran Ostersjoomradet
(Uppsala: Swedish Food Administration 2010).
Regulators who are seen to be tough on industry, such as the Swedish Chemicals Agency (KemI), have
115 M. Schapiro,
Exposed: The Toxic Chemistry of Everyday Products
and What's at Stake for American Power (White River Junction,
a high level of public credibility, as they are viewed
VT: Chelsea Green Publishing 2007).
to have the public's best interest at heart121. Therefore
116 Naturskyddsforeningen,
Rapport: Miljoloften for Europa (Stock-
the decisions they make, some based on good science
holm: Swedish Society for Nature Conservation 2009).
and others based on weak science, are not questioned
117 Danish Environmental Ministry,
Kemikalie-Handlingsplan 2010–
2013. Sikkerhed i Danmark-samarbejde internationalt (Copenha-
by policy makers, academics or other stakeholders.
gen: Danish Environmental Ministry 2010).
Some regulators, on the other hand, who are seen to
118 D. Liefferink and M. Andersen, "Strategies of the ‘green' Mem-
be influenced by industry are viewed by the public
ber States in EU Environmental Policy Making", 5
Journal of Eu-
ropean Policy (1998), pp. 254–270.
and stakeholders as weak, are less trusted and are
119 Vos, "Antibiotics, the Precautionary Principle and the Court of
increasingly marginalised. Similarly, policies and sci-
First Instance",
supra note 27.
entific arguments put forward by "low-trust" bodies,
120 J. Zander,
The Application of the Precautionary Principle in Prac-
such as the chemical industry and its consultants,
tice (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press 2010).
even though they may be based on stronger scientific
121 R. Lofstedt,
Risk Management in Post Trust Societies (Basingstoke:
Palgrave/MacMillan 2005)
evidence than those made by the Scandinavian reg-
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ulators, are increasingly being questioned by stake-
push forward tougher environmental regulation. The
holders, academics and other bodies122. Industry can
Centre right parliamentarians do not have a similar
no longer be trusted as they have vested interests in
spokesperson to counter these arguments.
the product being questioned, and increasingly in-dustry funding is seen as biased123.
Industry's credibility has not been helped by the
c. The politics of regulation
fact that a number of industry bodies have misused science to delay the regulation of hazardous sub-
Politicians will push for bans or fight for certain
stances such as tobacco, a fact that has only became
environmental/chemical/ energy issues which do
widely known over the past fifteen years or so124.
not affect the economic well being of their country.
Finally the accusers, that is primarily academics and
Sweden has strong positions on phasing out chemi-
stakeholders, have been gaining public and political
cals which it can afford to do as it has only a small
credibility following a number of European scandals
chemical industry129. Similarly, Austria richly en-
ranging from BSE (mad cow disease) to dioxin in Bel-
dowed with hydropower, has a strong anti-nuclear
gian chickens and tainted blood in France125. This is
policy. Its Eastern neighbours, Czech Republic and
a profound shift compared to just over 30 years ago,
Slovakia, do not have the Alps and are therefore to
when the public more or less expected a close work-
a greater extent reliant on nuclear power130. At the
ing relationship between regulators and industry126.
same time Sweden would not dream of having tough
Due to these three reasons it has become easier
controls on mobile telephone base stations as one of
for nations such as Denmark and Sweden to push
the world's largest mobile telephone systems provid-
through regulation as they are trusted, while their
ers, Ericsson, is based there131. In other words, it is
industry counterparts are not. In addition these
easy for Denmark and Sweden to take strong Anti-
Scandinavian regulators have been, and continue to
BPA and Anti-Deca-BDE positions at the European
be, ably assisted by stakeholders and academics who
level as there are no economic consequences for their
are also trusted. Following the passing of the Lisbon
domestic markets in doing so, and at the same time
Treaty granting increased power to the European Par-
they gain domestic "green" credentials. An example
liament, it is likely that it will be even easier to push
of this political game playing is one Swedish EPP
through tough hazard-based regulations.
122 It is interesting to note that EFSA was specifically set up to pro-
b. Lack of interest in environmental regulatory
vide credible scientific advice, yet government and EU agencies
issues on the centre right
feel comfortable over ruling EFSA's scientific opinions as was the
case of Bisphenol A.
123 Vom Saal and Hughes, "An Extensive New Literature Concern-
Setting Scandinavian countries aside, the call for
ing Low-Dose Effects of Bisphenol A Shows the Need for a New
tougher European chemical and environmental reg-
Risk Assessment",
supra note 66.
ulations is coming unsurprisingly primarily from
124 See, for example, N. Oreskes and E. Conway,
Merchants of
Doubt: How a Handful of Scientists Obscured the Truth on Issues
politicians that are from the centre left, left and the
from Tobacco Smoke to Global Warming (New York: Bloomsbury
greens127. The Greens, for example, have one main
platform, that of promoting tougher environmental
125 R. Lofstedt, F. Bouder, J. Wardman and S. Chakraborty, "The
regulation, while the EPP parliamentarians spend a
Changing Nature of Communication and Regulation in Europe",
Forthcoming
Journal of Risk Research.
large amount of their time focusing on a number of
126 J. Hayward and R. Berki,
State and Society in Contemporary Eu-
economically-based platforms, be it internal markets,
rope (Oxford: Robertson 1979).
competition or trade policy128. There are a number
127 Schorling, "The Green's Perspective on EU Chemicals Regula-
of examples of this. The rapporteur for the European
tion and the White Paper",
supra note 15.
Parliament's report on the European Commission's
128 McCormick, "Environmental Policy in the European Union",
su-
pra note 1.
2001 Chemical White Paper was a Swedish Green
129 Lofstedt, "Swedish Chemical Regulation: An Overview and Anal-
MEP, Inger Schorling, while the rapporteur on the
ysis",
supra note 14.
REACH Regulation was Guido Sacconi, an Italian
130 R. Lofstedt, "Are Renewables an Alternative to Nuclear Power?
Socialist MEP. Similarly, the European Greens have
An Analysis of the Austria/Slovakia Discussions", 36
Energy Pol-
icy (2008), pp. 2226–2233.
a political spokesperson (a former director of Green-
131 Zander,"The Application of the Precautionary Principle in Prac-
peace Germany) whose role is to debate, lobby and
tice",
supra note 120.
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MEP who put forward a parliamentary question on
2. Ignoring the risk-risk trade-off
the 27th May 2010 asking how the Commission will safeguard against imports of BPA material to the EU
The so-called risk-risk trade-off occurs when a reg-
(following the Swedish agenda on chemicals). On
ulator focuses on decreasing one specific risk (e.g.,
3rd September she put forward a question on how
chlorinating drinking water to make it safer) and un-
the Commission will safeguard an important part
intentionally increases a risk elsewhere (e.g., human
of Swedish heritage, namely the fermented Baltic
cancers caused by substances being generated dur-
herring, by extending the exemption past 2011, ac-
ing the chlorination). The concept builds on risk-risk
knowledging in her question the fact that the herring
analysis put forward by Lester Lave135 and, according
contains higher levels of dioxin than the European
to Graham and Wiener who popularised the concept,
Union allows132.
requires regulators and policy makers to systemati-
When politicians push for these types of bans (or
exemptions from a ban) on the European stage the
"Evaluate in weighing the comparative importance of
economic consequences are significant. The chemi-
target risks and countervailing risk when hard choices
cal industry, for example, is Europe's fourth largest
must be made136
".
industrial sector and is particularly significant for Germany. It accounts for 11 % of Europe's manufac-
Over the years risk-risk tradeoffs have been and are
turing capacity, and employs 1.6 million individu-
frequently ignored by regulators, be they based in
als133. Strong opposition from those nations who are
Europe, North America or elsewhere. This is despite
affected by these bans and regulations would be ex-
the fact that over the years there have been a number
pected, but in many cases this has not been the case.
of studies from authorative sources stating that they
Denmark, for example, was able to push through the
need to be properly and systematically addressed in
annulment of the Deca-BDE exemption in the face
the making of regulations137.
of UK opposition, Sweden was able to drive through
Both the case studies discussed above are riddled
the ban of the pesticide paraquat, and REACH was
with risk-risk tradeoffs. With regard to the ban on
passed following modest policy changes on the part
Deca-BDE two issues stand out. The ban is being put
of the Germans134.
in place because of environmental and public con-cerns associated with other BFRs, yet to date there appears to have been no studies demonstrating the consequences of the ban in terms of increased appli-
132 The 2 parliamentary questions from A. Corazza-Bildt (MEP-EPP)
ance fires. Similarly, it is not the case that Deca-BDE
were "Ban on bisphenol A (BPA) in infant feeding bottles" – Par-
can be simply substituted for safer and better proven
liamentary question 27th May 2010 and "Fermented Baltic her-
ring" – Parliamentary question 3rd September 2010.
retardants138. Deca BDE is one of the world's most
133 K. Geiser and J. Tickner,
New Directions in European Chemicals
studied flame retardants, yet the alternatives being
Policies: Drivers, Scope and Status (Lowell MA: Lowell Center
promoted, such as phosphorous-based compounds
for Sustainable Production 2003).
have not been equally studied. Would it not be wise
134 Zander, "The Application of the Precautionary Principle in Prac-
tice",
supra note 120.
to do more in-depth studies examining the possible environmental and health risks associated with those
135 L. Lave,
The Strategy of Social Regulation: Decision Frameworks
for Policy (Washington DC: Brookings 1981).
phosphorus-based flame retardants before the substi-
136 Graham and Wiener, "Risk vs Risk: Tradeoffs in Protecting Health
tution principle can be activated139? With regard to
and the Environment",
supra note 49, p. 19.
BPA, aside from replacing BPA plastic baby bottles
137 See, for example, F. Cross, "Paradoxical Perils of the Precau-
with glass ones (and resulting problems associated
tionary Principle", 53
Washington and Lee Law Review (1996),
pp. 851–921.
with consequences of breakage) manufacturers have
138 Busby
et al., "Interrupting the Social Amplification of Risk Pro-
in many cases struggled to find suitable alternatives.
cess: A Case Study in Collective Emissions Reduction",
supra
In addition, these alternatives have not been tested
and researched to the same degree as BPA, and may
139 Alcock and Busby, "Risk Mitigation and Scientific Advance: The
Case of Flame Retardant Compounds",
supra note 96.
in fact be riskier for human health and the environ-
140 Ryan
et al., "In Utero and Lactational Exposure to Bisphenol A,
ment140. The causes of these unintentional risk-risk
in Contrast to Ethinyl Estradiol, Does Not Altersexually Dimpor-
tradeoffs are two fold. Firstly, special interest groups
phic Behaviour, Fertility and Anatomy of Female LE Rats",
supra
focused on single source pollution end points rather
141 Viscusi, "Rational Risk Policy",
supra note 52.
than the broader environmental problem at hand141.
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Secondly, the risk-risk trade-offs were in these two
study also showed that there was a lack of coordina-
cases products of incomplete, and to a certain de-
tion on the use and type of risk assessments with
gree unscientific, decision making. Regulations were
regard to BPA or Deca-BDE, be the regulators based
driven too quickly without taking into account all the
in Denmark, Finland, Germany, Sweden or the UK.
possible unintended consequences, by political, me-
The regulators did not know what their counterparts
dia and stakeholder concerns rather than evidence-
were doing on these issues.
based policy making – sometimes referred to as the "risk of the month concern"142. As a result, the so called substitution principle is not a risk free solution
5. The stigmatisation of products
as some regulators imply143.
A number of environmental regulators, environ-mental stakeholders and academics are attempting
3. The many cultures of Europe
to stigmatise particular products, such as Deca-BDE and BPA. These groups do two things. Firstly they
Europe is not one entity, but the European Union is
attempt to make a general link between BPA or De-
made up of 27 Member States populated with indi-
ca-BDE with environmental effects or human health
viduals who have different values and ideas. This in
issues. For example the International Chemical Sec-
turn complicates matters for the making of consist-
retariat argued that:
ent environmental chemical regulations. Be it with
"…brominated flame retardants tend to be particu-
regard to environmental issues or food concerns,
larly able to bio-accumulate and to be persistent. This
there is not one united Europe144. The Swedes, for
means they stay in the environment for a long time
example, are more concerned about the welfare of
and accumulate in animals and humans. Many bro-
farmed animals than the Hungarians; while the Lat-
minated flame retardants are also toxic.147
"
vians are much more worried about the freshness of food than the Dutch. Similarly, the Portuguese worry
Frederic vom Saal argues with regard to BPA:
more about genetically modified food than the Brit-
"The science is clear and the findings are not just scary,
ish do145. These types of cultural differences will im-
they are horrific. Why (would) you feed a baby out of
pact on regulation.
a clear, hard plastic bottle – it's like giving a baby a birth control pill.148
"
4. The silo effect of regulatory agencies
At the same time these and other campaigners argue that there are much safer alternatives available, and
Research for this study has identified a problematic lack of communication between domestic regula-tors working on similar issues and between member
142 L. Lave and E. Males, "At Risk: The Framework for Regulating
State regulators targeting similar issues. With regard
Substances", 23
Environmental Science and Technology (1989),
pp. 386–391.
to BPA, the Swedish Chemical Agency (KemI) had a
143 For an excellent historical discussion on the substitution princi-
different perspective on how this chemical should be
ple please see A. Nilsson,
Att byta ut skadliga kemikalier: Substi-
regulated to their counterparts at the Swedish Food
tutionprincipen-en miljorattslig analys (Stockholm:Nerenius and
Santerus forlag 1997).
Agency (SLV). The KemI wants to regulate based on
144 Eurobarometer, "Special Eurobarometer 354: Food-Related Risks"
a hazard classifications and the precautionary prin-
(Brussels: TNS Opinion and Social 2010).
ciple, while the SLV wants to use a risk assessment
145 Eurobarometer, "Special Eurobarometer 354: Food-Related Risks",
and risk management approach. If the precaution-
supra note 144.
ary principle is to be used, the SLV is insisting on a
146 European Council, "Regulation (EC) No 2002/178 of the Euro-
pean Parliament and of the Council of 28th January 2002 laying
EU-agreed definition that includes a clause for cost
down the general principles and requirements of food law, es-
effectiveness, which would require some sort of risk
tablishing the European Food Safety Authority and laying down
procedures in matters of food safety",
supra note 23.
assessment146, while the KemI did not have a defini-
147 International Chemical Secretariat,
Electronics Without Bromi-
tion as such. The same split with regard to BPA oc-
nated Flame Retardants and PVC – A Market Review,
supra note
curred in Denmark where the Danish Food Agency
was forced to call for a temporary ban for political
148 The quote from Frederick vom Saal can be found in R. Sharpe,
"Let Common Sense Guide you in the Saga of Bisphenol A",
In-
rather than scientific (risk analysis) reasons. The
dependent, 13 April 2010, p. 39.
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hence these substances can simply be substituted
complicated by environmental campaigners, academ-
for something better. They do not go into any detail
ics and journalists. They have launched controversial
about the possible negative environmental and pub-
and highly publicised campaigns against chemicals in-
lic health consequences of the substitute products. In
cluding BPA and Deca-BDE, through bio-monitoring
so doing they put pressure on corporations to shift
schemes (be it blood or breast milk) to gain yet further
from one chemical compound to another, as dem-
media attention155. Is it therefore any wonder that the
onstrated by the International Chemical Secretariat
public is fearful of BPA and Deca BDE, which in turn
overview of electronics without brominated flame
justifies the environmental groups' campaigns?
retardants149. These campaigns are increasingly suc-cessful. The plastic's industry in Europe, for exam-ple, has been removing BPA from baby bottles as it
anticipated a European wide ban on the chemical150.
As seen in the two case studies, there is no such thing as uniform European-wide science-based risk
6. Public perceptions of chemicals
regulation. Rather there are multiple actors at differ-ent member state and European levels pushing their
Over the past 40 years there has been much social
own views and opinions of how regulations should
science research discussing why the public perceives
be formed, resulting in the passing of bans/directives
some risks differently to others151. This research
and regulations that are at times hazard based and
shows, for example, that the public is more concerned
at other times risk based. What is needed to ensure
about involuntary risks than voluntary ones, it fears
greater consistency in the European regulatory pro-
technological hazards more than natural ones, and
cess? What is needed to ensure greater science- and
that it is more frightened of unfamiliar than familiar
risk-based regulatory thinking? This final section
risks152. Chemicals tick all these boxes: they are in-
will address these questions.
voluntary, technical and highly unfamiliar, with most members of the public not having much information on, or understanding the use of, the chemical in ques-
1. Importance of education
tion. In addition, science shows that these types of unfamiliar, technological and involuntary risks are of-
If European regulators are to be successful in increas-
ten socially amplified by the media153 154. As a result
ingly basing environmental and health regulations on
the public is on the whole worried about the effects of
risk assessments then there is a need for the public and
chemicals. The whole situation has been made more
stakeholders to actually understand what risk assess-ment is, something that is clearly not the case at the present time. One way around this would be to push
149 International Chemical Secretariat, "Electronics Without Bromi-
for the introduction of risk assessment as part of the
nated Flame Retardants and PVC – A Market Review",
supra note
science curriculum in the final years of school (last two
years of high school/gymnasium) as well as by encour-
150 One could also argue that another form of stigmatisation is related
aging European universities to teach risk assessment
to the so called REACH "Candidate List of potential substances
for substitution" which is nothing more than a "blacklisting" as
as part of the undergraduate or graduate curriculums,
chemicals put onto that list are almost impossible to take off.
something that the Commission is also actively pro-
151 Slovic, "Perception of Risk",
supra note 110.
moting156. At the present time there is little teaching
152 See, for example, B. Fischhoff, P. Slovic, S. Lichtenstein, S. Read
activity on this topic with just a handful of universities
and B. Combs, "How Safe is Safe Enough? A Psychometric Study
Towards Technological Risk and Benefits", 9
Policy Studies (1978),
teaching risk assessment. What is interesting is that
pp. 127–152.
there is clearly a demand for such courses. Because of
153 R. Kasperson, O. Renn and P. Slovic
et al., "The Social Amplifi-
new regulations such as REACH, there are more risk
cation of Risk: A Conceptual Framework", 8
Risk Analysis (1988),
pp. 177–187.
assessments than ever before being performed in Eu-
154 N. Pidgeon, R. Kasperson, and P. Slovic (eds),
The Social Ampli-
rope. To generate funding in the risk assessment area it
fication of Risk (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press 2003).
would be good for a number of academic institutions to
155 Alcock and Busby, "Risk Mitigation and Scientific Advance: The
encourage the Commission's DG Research and Innova-
Case of Flame Retardant Compounds",
supra note 96.
tion to host a workshop on this topic to see what such a
156 European Commission,
Maximising the Contribution of Science
to European Health and Safety (Brussels: DG SANCO 2005).
proposed funding stream in this area would look like.
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2. Scientific peer review of risk
undue media attention and amplification of risks
assessments used for regulations
which could be better and more responsibly com-municated159. Was it ethically correct, for example,
One way to ensure that the risk assessments being
for the
Independent to publish a series of alarmist ar-
put forward by regulators remain of the highest qual-
ticles on the supposed dangers of BPA in April 2010?
ity (and therefore cannot be undermined by stake-
The articles were not scientifically balanced and were
holders and special interest groups) is to ensure that
arguably designed to put pressure on the UK FSA
the risk assessments and other underlying scientific
to regulate it. Other examples of unnecessary media
arguments used as the foundations for the environ-
amplification include the mishandling of the mea-
mental and health regulations are based on appropri-
sles, mumps and rubella (MMR) vaccine scare in the
ate peer review. Such a peer review could be based on
UK160 and the communication of the Y2K or millen-
the US Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs
nium computer bug161. Effective media amplification
(OIRA) within the Office of Management and Budget
in such cases is often undermined by poor handling
(OMB) 2004 "Final Information Quality Bulletin for
of science, not helped by the fact that due to recent
Peer Review". This bulletin:
budget cuts there are less and less broadsheet science
"… establishes government wide guidance aimed at en-
editors than ever before.
hancing the practice of peer review of government sci-
One way of addressing poor communication would
ence documents …. Peer review can increase the quality
be through the development of reporting guidelines,
and credibility of the scientific information generated
similar to those agreed by the BBC in 2003162 and by
across the federal government. This Bulletin is one as-
Harvard and IFIC163 that would help journalists to
pect of a larger OMB effort to improve the quality of
become more attuned to communication pitfalls164.
the scientific information upon which policy decisions
Another way to do so would be to use more science-
media forums to encourage greater critical dialogue between scientists and journalists on topics such as
The then Administrator of OIRA, Professor John Gra-
the intricacies of risk assessment, such as those pro-
ham, was concerned about the varying quality of the
moted by the European Science Forum.
underlying science used in the development of regula-tions and felt that by having a peer review system in place, the overall policy decisions could be improved.
4. Improving risk communication capacity
The Bulletin was signed into law in December 2004,
after having benefited from extensive agency, stake-holder and public comments on two prior drafts.
One of the main reasons why regulators and politi-
The idea is probably worth introducing in Europe, as
cians are under pressure to regulate based on hazard
long as the peer review guidelines are developed in tandem with a number of key regulatory agencies so they have some ownership of the project and are not
157 US Office of Management and Budget-Office of Information and
merely dictated to by a central oversight authority.
Regulatory Affairs,
Final Information Quality Bulletin for Peer Re-
view (Washington, DC: OMB-OIRA 2004).
One way to proceed with the introduction of an EU
158 D. Taverne,
The March of Unreason: Science, Democracy and the
wide peer review bulletin would be to bring together
New Fundamentalism (Oxford: Oxford University Press 2005).
a number of key EU risk assessment institutions such
159 Kasperson
et al., "The Social Amplification of Risk: A Conceptual
as the EFSA, the German Federal Institute for Risk
Framework",
supra note 153.
Assessment, the UK Food Standards Advisory Board
160 R. Horton,
MMR Science and Fiction: Exploring the Vaccine Cri-
sis (London: Granta 2004).
(COT) and DG SANCO to discuss the proposal.
161 N. Davies,
Flat Earth News (London: Chatto and Windus 2008).
162 R. Harrabin, A. Coote and J. Allen,
Health in the News: Risk Re-
porting and Media Influence (London: King's Fund 2003).
3. Media guidelines
163 H. Fineburg and S. Rowe, "Improving Public Understanding:
Guidelines for Communicating Emerging Science on Nutrition,
Food Safety, and Health", 90
Journal of the National Cancer In-
The European public does not need to be "educated"
stitute (1998), pp. 194–199.
in the way that many policy makers seem to be-
164 For an in-depth discussion on media communication guidelines
lieve158. Rather many public outcries or alarms that
please see: R.Lofstedt, "Risk communication guidelines for Eu-
rope: A modest proposition", 13
Journal of Risk Research (2010),
are prevalent in today's Europe are perpetuated by
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rather than risk is the simple fact that the promoters
and concise messages needed for the modern media.
of hazard classifications are better communicators of
To address this problem, regulators could either be
the potentially resulting risk in question165. In ad-
encouraged to participate in existing continuing edu-
dition it should be noted that hazard classification
cation risk communication courses for professionals
is easier to communicate than risk assessment, as
such as those developed by Harvard University, or
because it is less complicated, as given that elements
by developing customised risk-communication and
of uncertainty (in particular linked to exposure) are
risk-analysis guidelines, something that the EFSA is
not discussed. These stakeholders are in many cases
presently doing169.
professional public relations machines that excel in courting media attention and framing public opin-ion, debate and controversy. By being fast and nimble
5. Establish a scientific advisory board for
they can consistently engage in proactive risk com-
the European Parliament
munication attuned to the demands of a 24-hour news cycle, and they understand that the public per-
There is a need to increase the scientific competency
ceives some risks more than others166. What makes
of the European Parliament. Based on the interviews
them even more effective is that in many cases they
with European Commission officials, European par-
are more trusted than the regulators and the risk im-
liamentarians and senior officials in the Member
posers (usually industry)167.
States, there is a clear growing concern that in line
Regulators and policy makers, on the other hand,
with increased parliamentarian power, there needs
are generally poor communicators. Indeed, apart
to be an increased understanding of the science un-
from anything else, they are often too slow to com-
derlying the amendments, laws and suggestions that
municate, because in many cases held back by the
parliamentarians are making. One key way of help-
vast bureaucratic machinery that makes up most gov-
ing parliamentarians gaining this competence would
ernment departments. By being slow in their com-
be through the establishment of a neutral/independ-
munication strategies officials spend more time fire-
ent scientific advisory board that would produce
fighting and engaging in reactive communications.
opinions and suggestions on the various proposed
The problem with this strategy is that reactive risk
directives and regulations made by the Commission.
communication destroys public trust whereas proac-
This advisory board could work in close collaboration
tive risk communication gains public trust168. This is
with the Science and Technology Options Assess-
complicated by the fact that many regulatory bodies
ment (STOA) panel within the European Parliament.
do not understand the importance of risk perception and staff has not been trained in risk communication. They therefore often find it difficult to convey clear
6. Properly interpreting and implementing
the Commission's communication on
the precautionary principle
165 For a discussion see: Lofstedt et al, "The changing nature of com-
munication and regulation in Europe",
supra note 125.
The seminal European Commission Communication
166 G.Jordan
, Shell, Greenpeace and the Brent Spar (Basingstoke:
on the precautionary paper needs to be properly inter-
preted and implemented. When it was published the
167 UK House of Lords,
Select Committee on Science and Technol-
Commission noted that the Communication should
ogy: Science and Society (London: House of Lords 2000).
be seen as an "input into the ongoing debate"170 rath-
168 B.Fischhoff, "Risk perception and communication unplugged:
Twenty years of research", 15
Risk Analysis (1995), pp. 137-145.
er than the definitive statement on the topic. Since
169 EFSA,
Draft Risk Communication guidelines (Parma: EFSA 2010).
that time there have been multiple studies evaluat-
170 European Commission, "Communication from the Commission
ing the usefulness of the Communication171 and
on the Precautionary Principle",
supra note 17, p. 3.
whether the Commission is actually following the
171 See, for example, J. Graham and S. Hsia, "Europe's Precaution-
Communication172. One of the key provisos was that
ary Principle: Promise and Pitfalls", 5
Journal of Risk Research
(2002), pp. 371–390.
any invocation of the precautionary principle must
172 G. Marchant and K. Mossman,
Arbitrary and Capricious: The Pre-
be preceded by a risk assessment173. These published
cautionary Principle in the European Courts (Washington, DC:
studies, along with the case studies discussed above
indicate that the Communication is in many cases be-
173 European Commission, "Communication from the Commission
on the Precautionary Principle",
supra note 17.
ing ignored. Different guidelines and legal cases are
EJRR 2-2011 Inhalt.indd 167
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Symposium on Risk versus Hazard
being agreed on without a clear coherent policy as to
holders could discuss, both formally and informally,
when the Commission should be using risk assess-
the latest issues impacting on the risk analysis field.
ments let alone the precautionary principle. To ad-dress these ambiguities, there is a need to form an in-dependent academic expert group that would discuss
and describe how the Communication should best be interpreted and implemented. The outcome of such
The regulation of chemicals and food is never easy,
an independent study would need to be launched in
particularly when regulators and policy makers are
the European Parliament with the backing of senior
increasingly distrusted by the public175. It is much
parliamentarians and Commission officials.174
more complicated when chemical and food regula-tions become politicised. In this time of greater regu-latory uncertainty, there is a need to examine the in-
7. Establishing a chapter of the Society for
consistencies that are prevalent in Europe to see what
Risk Analysis in Scandinavia
can best be done to address them. It is hoped that this paper, highlighting two complex cases of BPA and
In the interviews that were conducted with risk-
Deca BDE, and by putting forward a series of policy
based policy makers and regulators in Scandinavia it
relevant recommendations ranging from educating
was clear that they needed a meeting place to discuss
the public in risk assessment, to using scientific peer
the present developments in the risk analysis field.
review of risk assessments, to promoting European-
The Germans, for example, did not know what the
wide media guidelines, to improving the risk com-
Danes and the Swedes were doing in this area and
munication capacity and competencies of regulators
vice versa. Similarly, because of the so called "silo"
in Europe, will assist in the making of more scientific
mentality there was little communication between
and risk-based European-wide policy making.
the representatives of the Swedish Food Administra-tion and the Swedish Chemical Agency with regard to what types of risk analyses should be used for
174 An alternative approach would be to clarify the scope and ap-
BPA. Finally, the Finns were looking for guidance on
plicability of the precautionary principle by way of legislation.
current best practice within the risk analysis field.
Indeed, there is an increasing body of case law defining the pro-
cedural and factual boundaries of having recourse to that princi-
The establishment of a Scandinavian chapter of the
ple. Marchant and Mossman's book, "Arbitrary and Capricious",
SRA with an annual meeting in one of the Nordic
supra note 172, is one such attempt in examining how the Euro-
pean Courts have interpreted the principle.
capitals would help form some type of peer group
175 M. Hamburg, "Advancing Regulatory Science", 331
Science (25
where interested regulators, academics and stake-
February 2011), p. 987.
EJRR 2-2011 Inhalt.indd 168
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Source: http://risksummit.eu/wp-content/uploads/2013/06/Risk-Versus-Hazard-Prof.-Ragnar-Lofsted.pdf
Psychological Treatment of PTSD Neil J. Kitchiner Cardiff & Vale NHS Trust Traumatic Stress Service Lesley J. Hunter The Rivers Centre for Traumatic Stress NHS Lothian 24 March 2009 Overview of workshop General considerations Trauma focused psychological interventions
Empirical calibration Martijn J. Schuemie, Marc A. Suchard In observational studies, there is always the possibility that an effect size estimate is biased. This can betrue even for advanced, well thought out study designs, because of unmeasured or unmodeled confounding.Negative controls (test-hypotheses where the exposure is not believed to cause the outcome) can be usedto detect the potential for bias in a study, and with enough negative controls we can start to estimatethe systematic error distribution inherent in an observational analysis. We can then use this estimateddistribution to compute a calibrated p-value, which reflects the probability of observing an effect size estimate